20 predictions for the next 25 years

January 2, 2011

[…] Some, like the futurist Ray Kurzweil, predict that nanotechnology will lead to a revolution, allowing us to make any kind of product for virtually nothing; to have computers so powerful that they will surpass human intelligence; and to lead to a new kind of medicine on a sub-cellular level that will allow us to abolish ageing and death.

I don’t think that Kurzweil’s “technological singularity” — a dream of scientific transcendence that echoes older visions of religious apocalypse — will happen. Some stubborn physics stands between us and “the rapture of the nerds”. But nanotechnology will lead to some genuinely transformative applications. […]